The FC Bayern München Files
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Predictions

FC Bayern München

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Next Match
Bayern vs Stuttgart
Kickoff
Fri 28 Aug, 18:30
Oracle
75.8% / 14.0% / 10.2%
Akte Bayern — Club-Dossier FC Bayern München
Predictions
Deutsch
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Bayern's win probability against Stuttgart?
The Pinnacle Oracle calculates 75.8% win probability for Bayern (home).
Where does Bayern stand in the table?
Bayern are 7th with 0 points after 0 matchdays. Goal difference: 0.
What transfers are expected at Bayern?
3 contracts expire in summer (Kimmich, Mueller, Ulreich). Squad value: 892M EUR. Next window: Sommer 2026.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Bayern's probability come from — and what moves it?

Bayern vs Stuttgart · Fri, 08/28, 06:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home%
Draw24%
Away%

Bayern: %

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • ⚪ Bayern home 0.0pp
  • ⚪ Versus top-6 opponent 0.0pp
Home%
Draw%
Away%

Bayern: % (0.0pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home75.8%
Draw14%
Away10.2%

Bayern: 75.8%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: pp —

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Source: Pinnacle via TheOddsAPI · Updated: Thu 27 Aug, 00:00

Bayern vs Stuttgart Fri 28 Aug, 18:30
Bayern 75.8% 1.26
Draw 14.0% 6.83
Stuttgart 10.2% 9.39
Spread Bayern -2 @ 2.04
Total O/U 4 @ 1.87 / 2.01
Margin: 4.66%

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for FC Bayern München. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Will Bayern win the Bundesliga 2025/26?

80%
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12%
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Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 0

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Schalke 04 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 BVB 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 Werder 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Augsburg 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 Leipzig 0 0 0 0 0 0
6 Eintracht 0 0 0 0 0 0
7 Bayern 0 0 0 0 0 0
8 Gladbach 0 0 0 0 0 0
9 Mainz 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 Union 0 0 0 0 0 0
11 Paderborn 0 0 0 0 0 0
12 HSV 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 Hoffenheim 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Stuttgart 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Koeln 0 0 0 0 0 0
16 Leverkusen 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Freiburg 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Elversberg 0 0 0 0 0 0