W1 · Morning Brief
07:30
40%
15 Items
Result
Fixed
07:30
Bayern 3:0 Mainz (Matchday 23). Müller 21', Sané 55', Musiala 78'. Convincing home win. Mainz without a chance — Bayern mit highest pass accuracy of the season (91.3%). Musiala with his third goal in a row.
Match Stats
Fixed
07:30
Bayern 3:0 Mainz — Match Statistics:
64.2%
Possession FCB
8 : 2
Shots on Target
18 : 7
Total Shots
7 : 2
Corners
Mood
Variable
08:03
Euphoria after the third win in a row. Fan mood excellent — Allianz Arena sold out, standing ovation after the final whistle. Anticipation for the top match in Dortmund.
Injuries
Fixed
07:30
Goretzka (muscle bundle injury), Stanisic (ACL tear), Kane (ankle — load management).
Form
Fixed
07:30
Saison: 17-4-2, 55 Punkte aus 23 Spielen. Last 5 Liga: W W W D W. Torbilanz: 61:20. Heimtabelle Platz 1. — away position 3..
Transfer
Variable
07:30
Kimmich extension still open. Agent meeting last week without result — Contract expires 2026. Barcelona und Manchester City are monitoring the situation. Salihamidžić pushing for a decision before the end of the season.
Table
Fixed
07:30
1st after Matchday 23 — 7 points ahead of Leverkusen (2., 48 Pts). CL qualification since Matchday 15 secured. Championship at current points average (2.39/match) mathematically from Matchday 29 possible.
Home / Away
Fixed
07:30
Bayern AUSWÄRTS 25/26
Table: 3.
BVB HEIM 25/26
Table: —
H2H
Fixed
07:30
Direktvergleich Bundesliga (63 games): Bayern 41S 14U 8N, Goals 139:62. First Half: Bayern 4:1 BVB (Matchday 10, 30.11.2025 — Musiala 12'/55', Sané 38', Tel 90'+1).
H2H Last 5
Fixed
07:30
30.11.25Bayern 4:1 BVBSMusiala ×2, Sané, Tel
04.05.25BVB 1:3 BayernSKane ×2, Müller
30.11.24Bayern 1:1 BVBUGittens; Sané
27.04.24BVB 0:2 BayernSGnabry, Müller
04.11.23Bayern 0:1 BVBNReus
Last 5: Bayern 3S 1U 1N · 3× in 5 Spielen im Signal Iduna Park
Key Stats
Fixed
07:30
91.3%
Höchste Passquote der Saison (vs Mainz)
17
Wins in 23 Spielen (Liga-Bestwert)
+41
Tordifferenz (Liga-Bestwert)
2.39
Punkte/Spiel
Bayern Overallbilanz all competitions 25/26: 22S 5U 3N, 78:24 Goals (30 games). Treffer in 28 der letzten 30 Pflichtspiele.
Early Odds
Fixed
07:30
BVB vs Bayern (Sat 28.02.) — Opening odds:
BVB
4.50
20.0%
Unentsch.
4.00
22.5%
Bayern
1.72
55.8%
Oracle
Fixed
07:30
Oracle 3-Source Comparison · BVB vs Bayern:
| Quelle | BVB | Unentsch. | Bayern | Vol / Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Di/Mi |
| Polymarket | 22¢ | 21¢ | 58¢ | $6.1K |
| Kalshi | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Mi/Do |
⚠️ Liquidity: HIGH — Polymarket-Volumen $6.1K. Pinnacle-Closing-Line ab ~Mittwoch als Wahrheitsreferenz.
Delta Check: Not available — only 1 of 3 sources live. Oracle table complete from ~Wed 25.02.
Season Markets
Fixed
07:30
Season market context: Bayern Championship: Polymarket 89¢ YES. Leverkusen 8¢. BVB 2¢.
W2 · Midday Update
12:30
25%
4 Items planned
Preview
12:30
H2H am Standort, Gegner-Saisonprofil, Verletzungsstatus nach Training, Sperr-Check (Gelbe Karten). 4 Items planned.
W3 · Evening Brief
17:30
25%
4 Items planned
Preview
17:30
Pinnacle opening odds (if available), Polymarket/Kalshi update, key metric, Remaining schedule next 5 opponents. 4 Items planned.
W4 · Night Signal
21:00
10%
2 Items planned
Preview
21:00
CL-/Relegations-Mathematik, Value Signal (C+ Paywall). 2 Items planned.
Publishing · Monday (MD+2)
TIER 1 · 15 ITEMS
W1
07:30
Morning Brief · 40% ▸
W212:30Midday Update · 25%
W317:30Evening Brief · 25%
W421:00Night Signal · 10%
Split: 9 Fixed (60%) · 5 Variable (33%) · 1 Signal (7%)
Last Match · Matchday 23
Bayern — Mainz
Mainz
Sat 22.02. · 15:30 · Allianz Arena · 75.000
⚽ Müller 21', Sané 55', Musiala 78'
Next Match · Matchday 24
HIGH
BVB
6. · 36 Pts
10-6-7
vs
Bayern
1. · 55 Pts
17-4-2
🏟 Signal Iduna Park
📅 Sat 28.02.
⏰ 18:30
Oracle · 3-Quellen-Status
PINNACLE · Wahrheitsreferenz
⏳ Linie erwartet ~Di/Wed 25.02.
POLYMARKET · Prediction Market
BVB
22¢
Unentsch.
21¢
Bayern
58¢
Volume: $6.1K
KALSHI · CFTC-reguliert
⏳ Markt erwartet ~Mi/Thu 26.02.
DELTA-CHECK: Not available (1/3 sources live)
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal · Thresholds
C+ PREMIER
| <3pp | No Signal | Märkte im Einklang |
| 3–5pp | 👁️ Watch | Watch |
| 5–10pp | ⚡ Trade | C+ Paywall |
| >10pp | 🔥 Strong | C+ Paywall |
| Arb | 🔒 Arb | C+ Paywall |
Preview Stats · Matchday 24
| Bayern | BVB | |
|---|---|---|
| Tabellenplatz | 1. | 6. |
| Punkte | 55 | 36 |
| Bilanz | 17-4-2 | 10-6-7 |
| Goals | 61:20 | 44:33 |
| Form (5) | SSSUS | NSUNS |
| Home/Away | A: 3. | H: — |
| Frühquote | 4.50 | 1.72 |
| Wahrsch. | 20.0% | 55.8% |
| Liquidität | HIGH $6.1K Poly | |
API-Football · Polymarket · Sky · 23.02.2026
Squad Status
- Aus Goretzka muscle bundle injury
- Aus Stanisic ACL tear
- Doubtful Kane ankle — load management
API-Football · kicker.de · FotMob · 23.02.2026
Manager · Vincent Kompany
"Wir wollen jedes Spiel gewinnen. Das ist der Anspruch beim FC Bayern."
Sky · 22.02.2026
Data Pipeline · Sources
API-Football
Stats, Table, Form
Football-Data
H2H, Backup
Odds API
Pinnacle Lines
Polymarket
Match + Season
Kalshi
CFTC-reguliert
kicker.de
Squad, press conf, quotes
tz.de
Mood, Transfer
ZERO HALLUCINATION · Nur API-Daten · Keine Fakten aus LLM-Wissen